If I recall, the last show at the arena (admittedly in 04) had the top tier closed. Enter Shikari played their first arena show with the top tiers shut and the stands half full, so anything is possible.
I'd say the Manics should have no issues filling the floor. And they're about to hit 20 years since their commercial peak so there might be something around that (some Truth stuff maybe) that shifts more tickets.
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